Re: [Alpacasite] Getting more people into the alpaca business...

In a message dated 11/25/05 10:24:01 AM Central Standard Time,
patrickspastures@verizon.net writes:

> For every 2 established farms leaving the industry, we are going to have to
> find 10 new entrees. Most likely, the largest portion of the 'newbees' will
> be in the 30 - 45 year old age group with a couple for kids still at home
> and with limited liquid assets. My feeling is for every 10 newbees, here's
> what the fallout might look like within 5 years:
> a.. 4 - 5 of the 10 will cease doing businesses due to divorce (the
> national average)
> b.. 1.5 will have to take care of older parent or relatives, a partner or
> themselves due to illness and not have time for the animals
> c.. .5 will have financial issues and liquidate
> d.. .5 will lose interest and fire sale
> This means only about 2 will make it past the 5 year mark....or that for
> every 2 current alpaca business that have been around more than 5 years and have
> to leave the business, that we will need 10 replacements just to stay even.
>

Not necessarily disagreeing with your numbers but I have a couple of
questions;
1) How do you arrive at 10 replacement owners for every two leaving?
2) Are items A through D representative of alpaca owners? Is it
statistically appropriate to take national averages and apply them to a very, very small
segment of the population?

Elden Harms
Token Creek Alpacas LLC
Sun Prairie WI

Looking for superior customer service? Lean on Token Creek Alpacas, you'll
be well supported.

[Non-text portions of this message have been removed]

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